 |
| Rising Approval Ratings for Vice President Kamala Harris |
Reuters Poll Results
A poll conducted jointly by Reuters and Ipsos shows that Vice President Harris has 44% support, while former President Trump has 42% support. This survey included 1,018 registered voters and has a margin of error of ±3 percentage points.
Compared to past surveys, Trump was ahead by 1 percentage point in early July, and the mid-July survey showed both candidates tied. This indicates that the support levels for both candidates have fluctuated over time.
Multicandidate Scenario
In a multicandidate race, Harris is also leading. She has 42% support, Trump has 38%, and independent candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. has 8% support. Reuters reported that Harris is leading outside the margin of error in this scenario.
Analyst Insights
Pollster Tony Fabrizio commented that "extensive media coverage of a new candidate can temporarily boost their popularity," predicting that this "honeymoon effect" for Harris might last for a few more days.
Mental Fitness Evaluation
Voters have positively assessed Harris's mental fitness. According to the survey, 56% of voters believe Harris is "mentally sharp and capable of handling challenges," while only 49% believe the same about Trump. For President Joe Biden, only 22% believe he is mentally fit for office.
NPR Poll Results
Another poll conducted by NPR, PBS, and Marist Poll shows a close race between Trump and Harris, with Trump at 46% and Harris at 45%. This poll was conducted on the 22nd of the month, after President Biden announced he would not seek re-election, with a margin of error of ±3.5 percentage points.
Undecided and Independent Voters
Among all respondents, 9% have yet to decide on a candidate, and 21% of independents are still undecided. These groups could significantly impact the election outcome.
Trump Campaign's Reaction
Tony Fabrizio, a pollster for the Trump campaign, stated that "Harris's rise in support is just a honeymoon effect, and her true nature hasn't changed. Voters will soon focus on Harris's real character."
Harris's Rising Support and Strengthening Position in the Democratic Party
These polls indicate that Harris's rising support is solidifying her position within the Democratic Party. However, a fierce battle with Trump is expected, and the election situation is likely to continue evolving. Voters will be paying close attention to the candidates' campaigns and policies moving forward.
Conclusion
The current poll results show that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in a very tight race. Harris's rising support is strengthening her position within the Democratic Party, but the neck-and-neck battle with Trump will continue. The strategies of both candidates and voter responses will be crucial variables in the upcoming election.
Related articles:
